Post by Stephen DeMay Post by Stephen DeMay Post by Stephen DeMay Post by Stephen DeMay
Some countries such as Brazil have taken a not for us approach to virus based restrictions. President of rough and tumble Belarus has stated , " It's better to die onyour feet than die on your knees". Ironically this could be a more practical approach as it's thought that the virus may just run its course faster if unchecked by lockdown policies. Trump should take up this approach.
Since disease should cull unproductive pats of the population the stock market should be booming. Good to see Hallmark Channel is back to running non - stop Christmas movies. A return yo sanity.
This disease presents so many unanswered questions it is in a class by itself : are infected/recovered people immune ?, if numbers of official new infections go way way down will they explode when things go back to normal, will virus mutate and if so into what ?, will virus run its course in next month or two as does the flu, or maybe burn out in hot weather ?, will it return as does the flu in the fall, how long can a lockdown stay in place, how long will it take until places that have little concern be badly infected, or will they ever ?, how many people in the US will eventually be infected, if everyone then deaths will top 3 million, but will it matter ?, is malaria drug going to be a game changer or just a help ?, will a cure be found, and if so when ? will Orange genius get sick , if he does will he soldier through or go into retreat, if go back to normal is a disaster what happens then ? will the public finally have enough of this and death toll in millions will be of less interest than stocks and baseball as long as it's just old and sick people ?
Italy is possibly lowering new infection numbers and people in the US are looking at the high point of the problem coming in the next few weeks.
Does any of this make sense ? One of the crucial points will be when a return to normal is tried. What makes anyone believe this will not open the flood gates ?
Letting things just run as opposed to restrictions is not as simple a choice as it might seem. Removing all restrictions or staying for a long period in lockdown would probably result in the same number of cases and deaths but could have the mess play itself out quicker but possibility of warm weather stopping the virus argues for long period of restrictions.Orange genius is easily the most entertaining president to hear in a press conference, he's comic relief .His change from as recently as Saturday when he was predicting an explosive recovery in 4th quarter GDP to the dire predictions of many deaths and the virus lasting 'till year's end or longer is a big turn around and will limit his attempts to assure is backers that great days are just around the corner.
Makes me think of the depression which was largely created by the Federal government by allowing 90 % margin on the stock market and its failure to insure bank accounts. Depression never really ended, WW 2 began.
I was wrong about Orange Genius not trumpeting how great everything will be very soon down the road. Latest briefing had him outdoing Roosevelt's , ' nothing to fear " malarky. Pence was repeatedly asked about people without insurance and medical costs. He and Trumpet dodged the questions which is par for the course . Party docs just take it for granted recovered virus individuals will have immunity...not so sure mutation will not be what occurs. instead.
For Trump and company the theme was the next three weeks will be terrible then it's back to business. Overall effect was like a debate with only one side speaking or a Trump rally. Or a sham . The amount of money being given to business is what this was about. Government deficit spending worked after the war but then there was idle production turned to war production turned to consumer production for huge backed up demand and a lot of the long standing deficit problems of today. He may not have command of language but what a bull shitter.There was more about how great things will be in a short while than what's on the ground now.
I really don't have any strong views on how this will all play out, circumstances have caused me to change my thoughts in some areas, but in these briefings Trump is less the odious liar than the host of a kid's happy times TV show.
Trump's Wednesday briefing seemed completely at odds with the prior day's bad news . On Wednesday it was three / four weeks of tough times followed quickly by a flattening of the number of infections curve to zero new infections. Sounded exactly like the 15 infections going to zero, everybody's getting better of about a month ago.
New York and the New Jersey counties close to Manhattan have less than 5 % of the country's population and 50 % of reported cases.
There are a number of " good " possibilities as to what will happen to the virus, but as yet not anything that's actually happening.
Key areas to watch : immunity or mutations, hot weather rescue , vaccines.
Trump's repeated declarations that country will come out of this stronger than ever make his briefings part comedy, part campaign.