Post by email@example.com Post by Stephen DeMay
Currently about ten states have no work , no recreation lockouts. THe public will stomach this for maybe two three more weeks and then look around and say, " fuck this ! " and demand that government let things go back to normal. The mantra can be, " do you know anyone who has, much less died from the Chin V ? ".
Most states that have the lockdown have Democratic governors, so bullshit from politicos will result in backlash at the polls, this is an election year.
Lockdowns will end sooner than enticipated , the virus will quickly spread again as testing everyone multiple times and people not allowed to go grocery shopping ain't gonna happen.
Peoplewill accept getting sick rather than being unemployed and bored, politicians will accept it knowing their heads will roll if they don't.
Virus will burn itself out in 6 - 9 months, economic hit will be moderate. The Street knows this, Dow is booming, Trump will be laughing his ass off as ire will turn to Democrats. Will show that the future can never be predicted.
Only things you need to know about the future : Industry cannot be shut down for anything like a year...it would cause a depression. Virus cannot be eliminated short term with anything short of quarantine for everybody...could not happen. Manhattan infection and reinfection rate will mean everyone living in Manhattan will get sick. Manhattan Island, whatever businesses reopen long term has to be quarantined, commuters from Jersey CANNOT be allowed to enter the city, death rate will be well under 1 %, total infection in US could be over 100 million but few will die, businesses both retail and industrial will reopen soon with many sick people in and out of work, virus will burn itself out before end of year, biggest danger is meds used to treat infections could cause mutation into more deadly form which, unless cure is quickly developed will wipe out large percentage of world/s population, food supplies cannot be obtained without grocery stores, for several months the new normal will be business as usual except about 10 % of population a will be sick at any one time, people will accept the new normal, no panic buying no hand wringing ,,,Manhattan has to be quarantined NOW or the prospects will be even worse, don't want Jersey to be like NYC, Jersey governor probably cannot stop commuters going into Manhattan unless Martial law is declared, don't know if that's a state or Federal power.
Mostly it will be a new normal for the year unless a vaccine that works and does not cause mutations is developed. People will be in and out of Jobs , self - testing just won't work for the reasons I've given in another post.
Two things are paramount to keep in focus : this is just a flu and not anything like the deadly Spanish flu and Manhattan is a special problem,MANHATTAN MUST BE ISOLATED. AS for myself I have a respirator so I won't get it or if I do I'll ride it out; a lot of people who have had the virus were barely ill from what I've read. I'd be more concerned with restrictions on food than getting ill. Have stockpiled 4,000 pounds of animal products. The entire general outlook as to what is likely to happen from now on is fucked, truth is people are going to get sick, some will die, the ones who do were sickly to begin with so in several months time when a lot more medical equipment is on line won't make much difference in the number of dead anyway. This is not China. The Street is trying to figure how many people will be out of the work force and for how long, If Manhattan is not quarantined Dow will go to 10,000 if it is and had better happen soon, will probably see things as business not as usual and not go lower than 15,000. The phrase that should be kept in mind at this time is " ride it out and keep dem Nu Yawkers penned up. Works for me...btw no baseball this year
When the World Trade Center buildings were demolished lowerManhattan was closed off for two weeks and traffic was not allowed in the area for months...people adjusted. As long as people can get food, can get back to work and don't die they'll deal with it. Strange situation always think of deadly disease/plague's effect on population this is kinda goofy. A few hundreds of thousands of people ( at most ) dying in would with billions of people in it is barely news to me at all...40,000 people die each year in highway fatalities and apparently about 50,000 plus in the flu season. For some reason Spanish flu did get real bad , not because it was " handled " well. Bring in all the medical supplies and rich people give aways you can but genie is out of the battle...but it's a new normal for the rest of the year. Whatever government does will make little difference, only possibly to slow the spread but failure to close Manhattan would be like the government not insuring bank depositsin the 30's, putting fuel on the fire. From my perspective only food panic buying would be a real problem. TA Trump address to the nation might be worth a watch but it would not contain as much meaningful information as in in this post. Enjoy the new normal, or not.